Jiang Junjie, Wang Facai, Shen Bingxiang, et al. Adverse Drug Reaction Monitoring and Construction of Risk Prediction Model of β-Lactam Antibiotics[J]. 2023,29(11):12-16.
Jiang Junjie, Wang Facai, Shen Bingxiang, et al. Adverse Drug Reaction Monitoring and Construction of Risk Prediction Model of β-Lactam Antibiotics[J]. 2023,29(11):12-16. DOI: 10. 13407/ j. cnki. jpp. 1672-108X. 2023. 11. 004.
Objective: To analyze the occurrence and influencing factors of adverse drug reactions ( ADR) induced by β-lactam antibiotics and establish the risk prediction model by monitoring ADR induced by β-lactam antibiotics in children from Lu’ an Hospital Affiliated to Anhui Medical University. Methods: Children who received β-lactam antibiotics in Lu’ an Hospital Affiliated to Anhui Medical University from May 2018 to Feb. 2022 were extracted as subjects for ADR monitoring. Clinical data of children with ADR were collected and analyzed. Based on the occurrence of ADR
children were divided into the ADR group and non-ADR ( nADR) group. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors and construct the nomogram prediction model. Results: A total of 453 children receiving β-lactam antibiotics were monitored
with 87 cases of ADR (ADR group)
and 366 cases without ADR (nADR group). Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that history of allergy
inappropriate administration frequency
high dose
medication duration ⩾3 d and drug combination were independent risk factors for ADR induced by β-lactam antibiotics (P< 0. 05). Based on these findings
nomogram model for predicting ADR induced by β-lactam antibiotics was constructed
with C-index of 0. 749 (95% CI from 0. 691 to 0. 807). Correction curve was close to the ideal curve ( from 16% to 81%)
and the net risk benefit value of ADR induced by β-lactam antibiotics predicted by the column graph was high
indicating that the model was good in clinical prediction. Conclusion: Risk factors of ADR induced by β-lactam antibiotics include history of allergy
inappropriate administration frequency
high dose
medication duration ⩾3 d and drug combination
and the constructed nomogram model can effectively predict the risk probability of ADR induced by β-lactam antibiotics
which is of some clinical value.
关键词
β-内酰胺类抗菌药物药物不良反应危险因素列线图模型预测
Keywords
β-lactam antibioticsadverse drug reactionsinfluencing factorsnomogrammodel prediction